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Zach Bass (a.k.a Ernie Varitimos) is Chief Bloviator of Investor in the Wilderness. He has 30 years experience as a Tech Maven, Investor and Consultant. Zach has been using Macs since their introduction in 1984, and investing in the markets just as long. His mission is to help guide all level of investors through the Apple Ecosphere and make sense of the markets. Zach's take on Apple, the markets, and life pursuits, will keep your mind tuned.

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Post Labor Day Apple Trading Strategy Part 2

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In the previous post I had proposed a strategy to take advantage of the current conditions, providing that the near term there may be some price fluctuation with AAPL, but looking further out  there’s generally a bullish sentiment. And the strategy I suggested was a Bull Put Spread with Puts that expire in Sep 2008. The idea is that we would let the time value work for us to make the trade profitable. 

The following strategies assume that the Put Spread trade was successful, and the price of AAPL has advanced some, perhaps to $173. At this point AAPL should be above its 20 and 50 day moving averages, which should provide good support, and make AAPL a good candidate for the swing trade. But given the market conditions, and recent sideways action, there may be short pops before the big move. So, you might want to take a guarded position where you can minimize the amount of capital you expend, yet execute a trade that will provide a good return on a short advance. Consider the following option chain:

AAPL Bullish Call Spread Oct 2008 165/170
Strike Price Symbol Option Value Delta Theta
$165 APVJM $14.3533 0.6667 0.1015
$170 APVJN $11.3814 0.5869 0.1061

The strategy to employ in this situation is a Bull Call Spread. It’s very similar to a Put Spread, however this is a net debit trade. Meaning the broker will be taking the premium from your account. Here are the potential results of the trade.

Chain Symbol Break Even Max Profit Max Loss Return on Risk
Sep 165/170 APVJM / APVJN $167.97 $202.81 $297.19 68.24%

I used a simple Excel spreadsheet to calculate this Call Spread. It also contains the calculations from the previous post that described a Bullish Put Spread. You can download it by clicking here.

If you’re looking to become a better trader, and how to best navigate turbulent markets, and most importantly, how to keep the money you have, then you should check out the Wilderness Investors Group. Click here to learn more and request membership. We have a vibrant community of professional and individual traders where you will learn how to exploit the markets and master the secrets of the trade.


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